The June Colmar Brunton saw a 9% swing from Labour to National under the exciting new leadership of Todd Muller. Jacinda Ardern: 54% (steady) Judith Collins: 23% (up 5%) David Seymour: 2% (steady) Winston Peters: 1% (down 1%). Source: 1 NEWS Source: 1 NEWS However, Collins also saw a dramatic drop in … Source: 1 NEWS, 1 NEWS political editor Jessica Mutch McKay has the latest results, less than three weeks out from election day. What you need to know straight to your inbox, You're all set to receive the Morning Briefing, the last 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton Poll results, 'Pain you've never felt before' - Chrissy Teigen reveals her third baby with John Legend has died, Body found in Waikato River confirmed as missing Hamilton man, President Trump 'must pay back' over $455 million in next four years, Man accused of escaping Auckland isolation hotel by climbing from fourth floor window remanded in custody, 'Pure cowardice' - TOP hits out at National's water policy, 'Toxic': Disturbing stories from behind the scenes at Weta Digital, Morning Briefing Oct 1: Trump and Biden scrap it out in fiery first debate. Change ). According to the latest 1 News-Colmar Brunton Poll, conducted between June 20 and 24, Labour would receive 50% of the vote - down 9 percentage points from the last poll in mid-May. Colmar Brunton poll, June 2020: The poll before that was even worse, with the Tories on 29% and Labour nearing 60%. SFO files charges in relation to NZ First Foundation donations, Small movements in another Colmar Brunton poll, Newshub/Reid research poll – similar results, National – incompetent economic policy, no ideology, Labour play safe while National, NZ First and Greens chase votes, More mistakes in National’s economic plan could be inconsequential, Greens – wealth tax, top priorities versus bottom lines. National would have 43 seats, while ACT – up 1% to 8% - would bring in 10. In July, 26% did not know or refused to answer, this was just 13% in this poll. Thirteen per cent of those polled did not know who their preferred PM was – the lowest proportion in recent polls. Between September 23 and 27, 2020, 1005 eligible voters were polled by landline (403) or mobile phone (602). Between February 8 to 12, 1004 eligible voters were polled by landline (402) and mobile phone (602). Forgetting about the poll a few days ago are you.? Greens have moved towards the danger zone and NZ First slips further under the threshold. Collins rises as preferred PM, but still significantly behind Ardern - 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll But potential coalition partners the Green Party rose … Those more likely to disapprove were ACT and National supporters, men aged 55 and over and people aged between 60-69. Those are rounded to whole numbers so the small party results in particular are very approximate. Winston Peters “we took the photos” used in ‘dirty politics’ post at The BFD. Greens have moved towards the danger zone and NZ First slips further under the threshold. Feel free to have a guess at tonight’s result. Only 35% said they supported the bill, a drop from 40% at June’s poll, 39% in February’s poll and 43% in November, 2019’s poll. Fifty per cent approved and 37% disapproved – giving Collins a rating of +12 after rounding of the figures. ( Log Out /
Of the poll result, Labour leader Jacinda Ardern said: “The really strong sense I get from people is right now they are looking for strong, stable leadership in these times. Source: 1 NEWS, Collins rises as preferred PM, but still significantly behind Ardern - 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll, 1 News Colmar Brunton party vote results, 28 September. Source: 1 NEWS, 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll, 28 September: Seats in Parliament if results repeated in the election. The data has been weighted to align with Stats NZ population counts for age, gender, region, ethnic identification and mobile or landline access. The Greens, who had been teetering on the edge of the Parliamentary threshold, have not been as high as 7% since November 2019. Under New Zealand’s proportional representation … Dumping Simon Bridges and the evaporation of the post Covid feel good factor has seen the major parties swap 9% support. The maximum sampling error is approximately ±3.1%-points at the 95% confidence level. 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll, 28 September - preferred PM rankings. Source: 1 NEWS, National, ACT and the Greens have both gone up since last week, but NZ First continues to spiral downwards.
Change ), You are commenting using your Facebook account. Politics as usual I’m afraid. Ardern’s approval rating of how she was handling her job as Prime Minister was +51, a drop from +76 in May. The first One News/Colmar Brunton poll of the year hasn’t moved much, but on these numbers National+ACT could probably form a government. Seventy-two per cent of people approved of how Ardern was handling her job and 22% disapproved – giving her a score of +51 after rounding is taken into account. What you need to know straight to your inbox, You're all set to receive the Morning Briefing, the previous 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton Poll results, 'Pain you've never felt before' - Chrissy Teigen reveals her third baby with John Legend has died, Body found in Waikato River confirmed as missing Hamilton man, President Trump 'must pay back' over $455 million in next four years, Man accused of escaping Auckland isolation hotel by climbing from fourth floor window remanded in custody, 'Pure cowardice' - TOP hits out at National's water policy, 'Toxic': Disturbing stories from behind the scenes at Weta Digital, Morning Briefing Oct 1: Trump and Biden scrap it out in fiery first debate. National leader Judith Collins has risen in the preferred PM rankings, lifting her up to her highest result since becoming leader. Labour PM Jacinda Ardern led Opposition Leader Judith Collins by 54-18 as better PM (54-20 in July). The amount of people who did not support the bill has risen to 53% – up from 49% in June and 51% in February. ACT’s David Seymour is on 2%, while NZ First leader Winston Peters dips down to 1%. Collins’ approval rating in July (+27) outscored short-lived National leader Todd Muller’s (+10, June 2020) and his predecessor Simon Bridges (-40, May 2020) during their time as leader. For Party Support, percentages have been rounded up or down to whole numbers. Despite Collins’ rise as preferred PM, her approval rating has plunged from +27 in July to +12. ( Log Out / She said people were “very positive” about the TVNZ Leaders’ Debate, “so I was really buzzing afterwards to just keep on going”. The data has been weighted to align with Stats NZ population counts for age, gender, region, ethnic identification and mobile or landline access. NZ First has dropped even further, now sliding down to just 1%. https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/1-news-colmar-brunton-poll-national-and-act-hold-numbers-form-government, Posted by Pete George on 13th February 2020, https://yournz.org/2020/02/13/one-news-colmar-brunton-poll-february-2020/. The first One News/Colmar Brunton poll of the year hasn't moved much, but on these numbers National+ACT could probably form a government. Change ), You are commenting using your Twitter account. The proportion of people who either didn't know or refused to answer if they approved or disapproved of Collins fell significantly - with a notable proportion of voters shifting from the undecided camp to disapproving. The September 22 poll saw Labour drop 5% down to 48%, National dip to 31%, while some of the minor parties, such as ACT and Greens received a boost. Free speech for those who don't threaten free speech, Medicinal Cannabis, Links and Information, ‘Governments need more history graduates’. But she is still significantly behind Labour’s Jacinda Ardern, the latest 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton Poll has revealed. Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Why do people believe in a non-existent Abrahamic God? Source: 1 NEWS. See May’s poll here See June’s poll here See July’s poll here See September 22 poll here. Results higher and lower than 50% have a smaller sampling error. “I think it’s important to have the momentum,” she said. 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll, 28 September - preferred PM rankings. Now is the time for that stable Government.”. National leader Judith Collins said her party was “chipping away and we’re keeping on going”. They will want wriggle room on all contentious issues. But they won’t.
The approval rating is calculated by taking away the disapproval percentage from the approval percentage. Collins saw a jump up to 23% as preferred PM, 5% higher than her showing in last week’s poll. “Our poll result went up, so did [ACT's] – it shows you that more people are sitting there and thinking about the economy.”. The two parties would not be able to form a government together with those numbers. Source: 1 NEWS. The maximum sampling error is approximately ±3.1%-points at the 95% confidence level. Results higher and lower than 50% have a smaller sampling error. Polling ran through last week which included Simon Bridges ruling out doing anything with NZ First this election, and the Waitangi Day/week political manouvering. Should voters have known about NZ First Foundation charges? Those who were more likely than average to disapprove were Green and Labour supporters, Māori and men aged 18-34. For party support, percentages have been rounded up or down to whole numbers.
Date Polling organisation LAB NAT ACT NZF GRN TOP; 29 Jul – 4 Aug 2020: Q+A–Colmar Brunton: 41: 38 8 7 4.7 0.4 23 Sep 2017: 2017 election result: 30.12 46.35: 0.47 13.17 6.05 1.98 Forecasts. Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. ( Log Out / For preferred PM, Ardern remained steady on 54% - a result she has consistently held in the last four polls since June. A New Zealand Colmar Brunton poll, conducted September 17-21 from a sample of 1,008, gave Labour 48% (down five since late July), National 31% (down one), the right-wing ACT 7% (up two), the Greens 6% (up one) and NZ First 2% (steady). The people who were more likely than average to approve of how Collins was handling her job were National and ACT supporters, people with an annual household income of between $100,001 and $150,000, men aged 35-54, people 70 and over and New Zealand Europeans. Party support: Labour Party - 47% (down 1%) National Party - 33% (up 2%) ACT - 8% (up 1%) Green Party - 7% (up 1%) New Zealand First - 1% (down 1%) New Conservative - 1% (down 1%) The Opportunities Party – 1% Māori Party - 1% Advance New Zealand – 1% Don’t Know/Refused - 11% (down 3%), Parliamentary seat entitlement based on these poll results: Labour Party 59 National Party 43 ACT Party 10 Green Party 8. Labour dropped down 1% to 47%, meaning it would have 59 seats in Parliament – not enough to govern alone if the results were reflected at next month’s election. See May’s poll here See June’s poll here See July’s poll here See September 22 poll here. Change ), You are commenting using your Google account. Written By: te reo putake - Date published: 6:33 pm, June 25th, 2020 - 49 comments Categories : class war, ... one news, political polls. 29 Jul – 4 Aug 2020: Q+A–Colmar Brunton: 46: 31 15 — 3 — 2 1 — 23 Sep 2017 : 2017 election result: 38.30: 21.61 — 34.81 — 4.51 0.46 — 0.30 Party vote. National 46% (no change) Labour 41% (up 1) Greens 5% (down 1) NZ First 3% (down 1) ACT… Paula Bennett and Mark Mitchell will come in handy. Between September 23 and 27, 2020, 1005 eligible voters were polled by landline (403) and mobile phone (602). The data has been weighted to align with Stats NZ population counts for age, gender, region, ethnic identification and mobile or landline access.
Good result for National considering. Will National’s support solid through leadership changes endure? 1 NEWS political editor Jessica Mutch McKay has the latest results, less than three weeks out from election day. The latest 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton Poll shows support for cannabis legalisation is dropping. National have partially reverted to the mean in the latest One News/Colmar Brunton poll. Meanwhile the Greens and ACT continue to rise but New Zealand First has dropped even further.
Labour has slipped from the comfort of being able to govern alone in the latest 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton Poll. Those who were more likely to approve were Labour and Green supporters and women aged 18-34.